So here we are in September, and I think I'm at about 4,000 or so PQP, and barring a major partner fare sale to Asia or Europe in Business, or a double or triple PQP promo from United, 2023 will be the first time in 25 years I say goodbye to top-tier status on my chosen airline. Last year the thought of this would have really stressed me out, but this year I've sort of given up because I'm just not traveling that much at all due to airfares and restrictions in Japan and Taiwan, where before the virus I might be making 4-5 annual trips to Japan, Taiwan, Singapore or some other SE Asia fare-sale spot, along with at least one hop to Europe. I'm also just not seeing so much value in the product to get excited about. I'm lifetime gold, and between that, my Amex card, and Priority Pass, lounge access is no problem, and I can still pre-reserve Y+ seats at booking, and board with Group 1.

I haven't seen an upgrade in as long as I can remember, even trying to use the huge bundle of PP points still sitting there, that I assume will be gone Jan 1 after I fail to qualify.

I'm also concerned about starting to throw a lot of money into re-qualifying, only to find out the 2023 MP program has significant devaluations along with a much higher prequalifying bar for 2024, thus only delaying the inevitable.

I'm kicking around the idea of doing that one NYC-CGK trip on JAL to get lifetime OW Emerald and have two lifetime mid-tier programs to fall back on, and being able to get decent benefits across UA, AC, AA, AS and JAL. Another option is wait for the 2024 program details to drop, then if it looks worthwhile, I can always re-qualify again.

So the questions:

1. If you're holding 1K and not going to qualify next year, what's your plan?
2. what do you think will happen in Q4 with the MP program - PQP bonuses or soft landings?
3. what is your forecast for 2024 changes to the MP program and is that affecting your decision to re-qualify for status now?