I finally had some time to call. Even before I finished my question, I felt the Rep was ready to give me the "we have extended so many times so no more" speech

I am Lifetime Titanium.
There are still COVID trouble spots in other parts of the world - Mainland China, Taiwan, etc. I actually cancelled a trip to Taiwan because of the COVID outbreak (their biggest ever).
Last year, IHG ended up letting those who called to convert the expiring certificates to points. Given how bad Marriott is now with customers, I am not holding my breath.