Originally Posted by
hailstorm
There's two ways to interpret this: either a gradual decrease in cases has continued over the past two weeks, or a sharp downturn over the past week has violently jolted us back upwards again. The next week's worth of data should make the picture clearer.
Going forward, the good news for easing the burden on hospitals is that almost 90% of all senior citizens are now fully vaccinated and boosted. The bad news for stemming transmission is that the percentage of those in their 20's and 30's that are fully boosted remains under 40%. As I recall, pretty much everyone that wished to be vaccinated could have done so by the end of last October, after which more than six months have now passed, so pretty much everyone that wishes to be boosted could do so by now. So it seems that quite a few of the younger generation have opted out of getting additional shots.
Yeah, but we from GW21, new year 20 and 21, obon 20 and 21, and a number of long weekends, and the general behaviour on weekends we know that the reported results drop in these periods. So to assume that the true numbers dropped during golden week and suddenly had a surge again is probably rather unlikely. Just the usual drop in testing and reporting.