Originally Posted by
vanmunchen
I've had to take a test several times in recent months when flying back home but the possibility of being positive never seriously entered my mind because I examined the risk factors where I was going, such as the number of cases per 100,000 for example, which made the risk of catching it while away vanishingly small. Most people don't consider and assess risk well.
The issue I would have with that strategy is that you are determining the risk on the information readily available. Many governments will attempt to supress the real numbers and factoring in that many countries have more robust information gathering and testing than others.
Attempting to assess risk is fine, but you need accurate information to determine the level of it.