Girlfriend had to get passport renewal for a trip in Dec. We were worried until I saw people in thread getting new passport within 5 weeks (in mid Sept,). I guess she probably could have got it in time with regular processing.

Here's here timeline. Send to Philadelphia from Michigan
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9/16 mailed Priority 2 day mail
9/18 Delivery confirmation dated
9/21 check cashed
9/29 Officially received according to passport status check rush return said 10/7 but arrived today 10/5. Just passport, not passport card.