I haven't travelled much in the past 18 months (front line health care worker, Manitoba had a mandatory 14 day quarantine after out of province travel until recently) and have built up quite a supply of eUpgrade credits.

Looking at a few trips to Europe over the next year, and contemplating a latitude flight pass as opposed to paying for Y or J on an individual basis as it's a bit cheaper. Reading through this thread - it looks like paid latitude no longer pulls from a class visible on ExpertFlyer.

Does anyone know the relative likelihood of being upgraded? I'm currently E75K - likely will be SE with the premium card spend upgrade later this year. I usually book a month or two out, and could probably adjust times/routing if required to find space. I presume my odds are good? But are we talking 80% chance of clearing, or 95%? I realize numbers are just conjecture, but advice appreciated. At this stage in my life a red eye to Europe in Y would be incredibly unappealing.