Technically they can close int'l flights at T-30, so that leaves you with 22 minutes assuming your door opens on time and you're the first passenger off. Throw in a small arrival delay / deboarding delay and you'll miss it...and then on the other side early arrival, small departure delay, or them holding the flight open till T-20 or T-15 and you'll make it no problem.

For me it (almost) never makes sense to have a guaranteed overnight hotel stay to avoid the chance that I'll miss a connection and MAYBE have to get a hotel room. But it really depends on how bad a 1-day arrival day would be for you, whether you need seats together with family, whether you have onward ground travel booked at destination, and your general risk tolerance