Originally Posted by
hawkswin
Thanks for the different perspectives. I did take a glance at the app as I was boarding (early as 1K) and F still looked full so it must've been T-15 as to when it got cleared out. As someone who flies weekly and looks for flights at least every other day, the late surge to fill out F did feel a little odd, especially as they subsequently failed to show. My theory is that the removal of change fees leads people to book a lot of flights just based on the positive optionality of having no downside if they choose to not get on it, which is why I think this type of thing could reoccur. The weather could've played a part but I felt like something more than that just based upon my past experience and ORD that day.
If F still looked full at T-15, the passengers did not "choose not to get on it" for "no downside." They had checked in for the flight, and were marked as no-shows; for nonrefundable tickets, this would make the ticket forfeit.
The much more plausible explanation is that this was, in fact, no-shows due to a missed connection. Perhaps a party of 6 was traveling together.