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Old May 30, 2021 | 3:02 pm
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Originally Posted by PxC
After reading a scientist on SkyNews talking of it (Indian variant numbers) currently doubling every week and thus encouraging an early dose of further restrictions, how do you think this will play out in the coming weeks CWS? In terms of growth of cases and hospitalisations/deaths. Are the few hotspots just having a crazy mini spell before it all settles again or do you expect these spurts all over the country?Other scientists have just described the June 21 reopening as 'in the balance' and have said they aren't as worried as previous waves in terms of serious illness/deaths. Reversing the roadmap would be very painful for Bojo politically I'd imagine.
Indian variant cases are doubling every 8 days at the moment, I hope this can be lengthened. A lot depends on Blackburn, Manchester and Bury tracking infections, testing, vaccinating and isolating those who are positive. This is difficult in these areas since there is a lot of poverty in these areas anyway and many people can't afford to be off work even if sick. But set against this is the point that's not being mentioned so much: if the Indian variant supplants the Kent variant - something still not certain - then you have read alongside the rise in Indian Variant cases goes with a continuing reduction in Kent Variant cases. It's a dynamic situation. Right now it would not seem a good time to re-open nightclubs, but the decision point for that is 2 weeks off.
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