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Old May 30, 2021 | 2:47 pm
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Originally Posted by enviroian
Is it know (or assumed) the increase to 43% is due to the infamous "variants"?

FWIW I have read that the Indian variant that has scared the UK has shown up in Michigan.
I think we have had 3 deaths in total from the Variant in the last month, UK wide, out of a total of 250 or so. So it's a bit difficult to tell. To give an illustration how this is very different from the Kent variant: our worst location for the Indian variant is Blackburn, and that's not a big town (115,000 or so). During January there were about 4 deaths a day there, it was probably a bit more since some cases were transferred to Manchester due to hospital overloading. In May there was one death on 23 May, Indian variant, and another on the 13 May, not the Indian variant and perhaps not actually caused by COVID (there were mulltiple health issues). Two a month rather than four a day. There were no deaths at all for the whole of April.

So the cases are going up, you probably saw the heat map for Bolton upthread, it's mainly youngsters getting this variant. Blackburn has a few older people who are in there, which Bolton did not see. There is some localised increase in hospital visits but generally it's Accident and Emergency (ER) day visits, because they are younger they are generally being sent home after being given dexamethasone, they are not staying overnight. Deaths remain close to zero UK wide. Now that's not to make light of it, since we still don't have 85% vaccine coverage of UK adults yet, that's going to take another month, and of course some of the younger people will get serious, perhaps permanent, impacts from their infection. But we're in a radically different and better place than January, and so long as cases are tracked and tested, we should stay that way.
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