FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - Good news, is this the beginning of the end for Covid19?
Old Apr 8, 2021, 2:58 am
  #154  
Ed Size
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: try to stay home
Programs: AY, M&M, BAEC ...and don t care of status anymore
Posts: 2,050
Originally Posted by Courmisch
Mrs Von der Leyen already promised 70% of EU adults would have had the chance to be vaccinated by end of June, something like two months ago though. It's really nothing but estimations anyway. What if one of the supplier factory burns down, like happened in the (also under-supplied) chips business... But there is no denying that vaccine production is ramping up heavily in EU this month, so we just have to hope that logistics follow.

There's still the problem of want to be vaccinated, which is pretty low among younger age groups. By some models, we'd need 90% of the whole population vaccinated to stop the spread of the so-called British variant. In other words, even 100% of all adults wouldn't be enough.
It makes no sense to talk about the percentage in Europe if we are talking about a global pandemic, and 70% by end of June is quite optimistic, even for Europe. Look at the global numbers and you will realize that we either need to go another way or we have to wait a long time till it s back to normal. In China not 1% is vaccinated yet.

Globally at this point 1.9% of the population got full protection - so you can calculate yourself how long this will take.
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