Originally Posted by
NWIFlyer
If A3 doesn't extend by at least a further 6 months it will be an outlier in the aviation world. It's absolute common sense to do so - the industry has effectively stopped for a year already and essentially it's pot luck whether you had travel planned at the right time or not.
This is the salient point. By April 2021, Europe will have spent 8 of the previous 12 months with pretty high levels of cases which discouraged reasonable people from flying a lot even when it was not explicitly restricted by government, long haul in the doldrums for the whole year.
Your amount of travel between late March 2020 and vaccines really kicking in Europe in late-Spring/early Summer 2021 will be totally unrelated to the amount you did before, and the amount you will do going forward in the next year and beyond.
A 6m extension made sense if the autumn winter hadnt gone the way it has - but it has - so bringing the total extensiion to 12m, to match what will have been a year of disruption makes perfect sense.