Here is this week's data from the ECDC.



As with the many other versions of this chart upthread, this shows the infection rate - the number of confirmed Covid-19 cases - based on a cohort of 100,000 general population - added up over a 2 week period. Some stats in this area are reported on a 1 week basis, which shows better daily granularity but 2 weeks is better for seeing trends. The data is that reported on Monday, typically relating to records taken in the 2 weeks ending on Sunday. These figures are used by PHE to advise HMG on travel corridors (currently moribund),Test to Release and other controls.

UK: this continues to fall at a fast rate, and I'm not seeing much deceleration yet, but it's bound to happen at some point. You can tell this when the 1 week figure is below 50% of the 2 week figure, and that's been the case in the UK since 14 January. The Sunday figure above shows 632, yesterday's figure was 549, and today is heading for around 528 or so. Yesterday's 1 week figure was 235.

Gibraltar Watch: as regular readers will know, I have an interest in what is happening on Gibraltar since it is well advanced in its vaccine rollout, all on Pfizer. Last week they had vaccinated 11,000, half the Rock, now they are on 13,000, which is about 60% of the adult population. So they are well into their Phase II period, people below 50 years old, this week they are doing second doses and younger key workers such as supermarket staff. Next week (and this really caught my eye) it's the turn of Sixth Formers and university students. Most of Gib's university students would normally be in England now, and they are mostly WFH, but they would be the only part of the UK student population to be mass vaccinated. Pfizer can be given to 16 years plus, AstraZeneca is 18 years plus. Gibraltar started vaccinating 25 days ago Infection rates there aere really falling very fast, though with small populations using the 100,000 cohort means you are multiplying cases rather than dividing them. Two weeks ago it was 3750, last week 2362, this week 1317. So looking promising there.

Israel and Jerusalem: the top line figure is an improvement but perhaps a bit disappointing, in terms of slowness. Israel went into the latest lockdown fairly recently, and so the context of their rollout wasn't a good starting point. Under the bonnet though, the figures look to be promising, with multiple positive indicators in recent media reports. The lead times here are quite long: vaccines take 18 days to reach a decent immunity level, maybe a bit longer in the elderly, and you then have to add on a week or two before any infections would hypothetically come through on the stats.

Elsewhere, some other places of interest, showing last week's data, then this week.
Jersey 139 - 90
Ireland 814 - 486
Iceland 26 - 11
Norway 105 - 81
Finland 72 - 93
Andorra 1138 - 1121
South Africa 310 - 202
UAE 460 - 515
Brazil 350 - 340
Mexico (data unreliable) 180 - 173