FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - UK arrivals - pre-departure, quarantine and post-arrival [currently no requirements]
Old Aug 13, 2020 | 12:04 pm
  #2872  
orbitmic
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+2669 cases in 24 hours in France. I can see why there are disagreements on what to do about this. The figures are still worsening though the deterioration is still relatively slow/progressive compared to what happened, say, in Belgium, Malta, or Spain when the decision was taken to remove them from the quarantine free list.

So I guess the question is what matters more here, "level" or "slope", as it seems to me that so far, both have been taken into account. If level, France is now above 30 and even if things improve, she will not go back below that level for a few weeks as there is a certain kinetic force at play in how figures evolve once measures are taken.

At the same time, if slope, Belgium moved from 30/100k to 60/100k cases in about 1 week, Spain and Malta in even less than that. In France, on the current rhythm of deterioration, it would likely take about 2-3 weeks for the same to happen (the deterioration seems to be about 30%. There isn't an "out of control spiral" as there was in those countries, and the deterioration is quite a bit slower than in the Netherlands too, but it is obviously still a deterioration.
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