Hey, so I know the 747 retirement wound’s still fresh but I’ve just been thinking about what aircraft would replace the 747 on routes for next summer (2021) when demand would have picked up a little bit.

- The A35K or 772 could replace the 747 on some African routes (ACC, LOS, CPT) and maybe one of the two (or even the 787/77W) could complement the A380 on JNB (if they’re back - I read somewhere 6 will
be activated this winter).

- The US market is more complicated to predict but in an ideal recovering world with zero to little Covid cases, I’d assume the 77W/772 would be consolidated on the JFK route with a mix of A35K, 787s & 777s on other routes, depending on demand & distance. LAX & SFO I assume will have an A380 plus another wide-body. MIA, SAN & DEN could go A35K/772. SEA, ATL & DFW could be 78X based off plans for this summer. I think we could see the 78X on more east coast routes like EWR, PHL & IAD.

- For the Middle East, I think the 772 could easily replace all 747 routes as they swapped them often.

It’s so interesting to think about and I know I’m just speculating but what does everyone think ?