Child passport renewal chronology:

03/18/20 - Applied at the Post Office

03/23/20 - Application accepted

07/14/20 – Application Status Approved. Given USPS Priority tracking number and estimated delivery time 07/20/20

07/15/20 – Status page changed its contents again. Tracking number no longer there and estimated delivery time changed to 07/21/20. The status page now has the “pre-COVID” look:

“You requested routine service when you applied, which we are currently processing in 6-8 weeks. You should receive your passport book on or around 07/21/2020. Your application locator number is XXXXXXX”

Luckily I could find the tracking number in my browsing history and the expected delivery date (from Arkansas to Ohio) is actually 07/17/20.