Originally Posted by
84fiero
That isn't correct. The nationwide daily deaths, on a 7-day rolling average, have been declining fairly steadily from a peak of over 2,200 in mid-late April to 687 currently.
The total US deaths passed 100,000 around May 27, just a few days before the start of June.
Now, on June
22 midday, we're above 1
22,000. That sounds rather close to 1000 a day (
well over 800 a day) over the past three weeks. And I seem to recall seeing 120,000 passed on the 19th or 20th, which implies it's up there in the short term too.
I'll believe a serious decline if we're
much less than 1
30,000 by June
30, but so far in mid-June, the date of the month has very closely tracked the second and third digits of the total US death count, which implies it's still somewhere near 1000 relatively steadily.
Of course, how accurate this data is (on the low side) is unclear. There are rumors about some states or localities holding back death data for a while, and then suddenly dumping a whole bunch of death data at once. If that's going on, that's making it hard to measure it accurately on a 7-day basis, only on a longer basis.
Meanwhile, as time goes on, the death rate may become a poorer comparison point, because of possible increased used ot treatments which decrease deaths in seriously ill patients. But in that case, the absolute death rate not falling much implies that it might have gone up had it not been for new treatments becoming available.