FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - Impact of extended lockdown on BA June schedule
Old Apr 21, 2020 | 7:46 am
  #122  
Keiran Newberry
 
Join Date: Apr 2020
Location: United Kingdom
Posts: 232
Originally Posted by 13901
My idea was that the more you test the more you find, the more you find the more you hospitalize/quarantine/care for... You put a lid on it but you do increase demand on the hospitals. Having said that I'm absolutely not a medical expert.
Nor am I. I see where you're coming from. My thinking, on the other hand, was that as at the moment we're only testing hospital admissions (outside of NHS staff), all we're seeing is testing on the worst cases. So what we're doing is associating positive tests with hospital admissions.

What I was getting at, is that tested or not, those who have mild or no symptoms still wouldn't need hospitalisation. We'd get better statistics on the penetration and the effectiveness of the lockdown but that doesn't equate to more hospital admissions.

Another factor potentially skewing the data is the fact it's mainly NHS staff getting tested, and many of them are picking it up from their patients. So whilst we're seeing increasing numbers of cases as the testing increases, it's not necessarily penetrating or spreading further. The only way to gauge that is to test the general population
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