Originally Posted by
tdiddy23
So you think that link I attached to the world economic forum report and graphic is wrong and your perfunctory google search is more accurate?
You are looking at known cases, of which there are 100s of community spread with unknown source within NSW. That translates into many more in the community (Stanford study released today showed up to 85x more than tests revealed). I do agree that if Aus and NZ achieve eradication than that would be enough to save NZ tourism temporarily
In any case, in some sense it is good that countries like Sweden are taking an approach on one end of the spectrum and NZ on the other. Time will tell and we will all be able to learn from this for the next (hopefully very distant) pandemic.
Yes, I’m looking at known cases. And testing numbers and percentages testing results. Atm NSW, the example you used, is testing 3000-5000 per day and getting 10-15 positives. Your assertion that the cases in NSW are much higher because of a seriology study in a different country with much less testing while ignoring the actual testing results in the state your talking about doesn’t stand up to any semblance of intellectual rigour. There is certainly be some community spread in NSW and there will certainly be some cases not discovered but with a testing rate of over 19000/mill (one of the highest in the world) and a positive rate over the last week of less than 0.1% it certainly isn’t extensive.