Originally Posted by
Adam Smith
First of all, there's no need for your antagonism, nor your condescension. I'm not "defending" AC. I'm merely pointing out that you're treating this issue as black and white, when it's very grey. You're using 20/20 hindsight to say that all sorts of things were clear when they were volatile and uncertain.
Flights to Italy were allowed right up until they weren't. AC didn't know what flights it was going to operate until the bans came in. Until flights were banned, they were permitted, so should AC not have been allowed to sell seats on those flights? In mid-February, do you think AC knew that it would be allowed to operate to FCO on March 13th (or whatever the last day was), but not on the 14th? In many cases, governments didn't even make these decisions until hours or minutes before they were announced. In some cases, they didn't even really know what they were announcing when they announced them (hello, US ban on flights from Europe). So how do you expect an airline to know what a government is going to do?
I don't see it as AC's job (or any other airline's job) to put warnings on the website about things that people should be reading in the news anyway. Someone who purchased a ticket to FCO on March 1st for travel on March 15th, let's say, should have known that COVID-19 was a growing problem and that there was a risk. What would the warning have said? "Flights to Italy are at high risk of being cancelled because of COVID-19"? On what date should AC have started to display that? February 17th? 12th? 21st? March 2nd? I flew YUL-FCO on March 6th, and at that time, the number of cases in Italy outside of the hot zones in the north was tiny, and the talk was around how they were doing a good job of keeping the north quarantined and limiting the spread in the rest of the country. The next day, they realized the problem was much bigger than they thought, and announced that as of the 8th, they were closing all museums etc around the country. And a few days after that, total lock down nationwide. But you think that AC should have known about that two or three weeks earlier? I don't think they were surprised by the ban when it came, but I think it unreasonable and unrealistic that you expect them to have had such good foresight several weeks before.
I think you significantly underestimate how difficult these things are to predict and how fast they change. In addition to the Italy example above, my wife is a nurse in a quasi-management role at the ER of one of the hospitals in YYC. The other day, she was telling me about Alberta Health Services' model's prediction of the peak of cases in Calgary from the run earlier that day (which had changed a bunch from the previous day). Barely had she finished telling me that when she got an update on the afternoon/evening run, and the peak had shifted by nearly two weeks and number of cases at the peak changed significantly. In an environment as volatile as that, no business can have the level of certainty you're ascribing to AC.
Even if AC had put a warning on the website that flights to some of these locations, or even all flights, were at higher risk of being cancelled due to COVID-19, what do you think that would have done? Someone booking a ticket to FCO on March 1st for travel on March 17th, do you think a little red warning box on the AC website would have changed their purchasing decision? Someone buying a YYC-YVR for April 18th? Let's get real, a little box in red text warning about COVID-19 wasn't going to tell them anything they didn't know.
AC is at fault for refusing to refund customers' money after cancelling their flights. That's a decision that's in their control and doesn't rely on some crystal ball. And it really doesn't matter when those tickets were purchased (unless it was on or after March 19th, when one could argue that customers were forewarned that there would be 24-month credits instead of refunds for involuntary cancellations). That's really the issue here.
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