FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - Coronavirus / COVID-19 : general fact-based reporting
Old Mar 12, 2020 | 6:39 pm
  #3826  
notquiteaff
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Interesting; I didn’t know we paid for a dedicated physician (+staff) for Congress and Supreme Court.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brian_P._Monahan

”Monahan received his B.S.
summa cum laude from Fairfield University and M.D. magna cum laude from the Georgetown University School of Medicine. He trained in internal medicine and later hematology and medical oncology (HMO) at National Naval Medical Center (NNMC).[4] He is certified by the American Board of Internal Medicine in internal medicine, hematology and medical oncology.”

I am sure he is an excellent physician. Since he doesn’t appear to be a infectious disease specialist, I assume he is basing his assessment of the situation on advice from and on modeling from subject matter experts (maybe CDC internal modeling).

The estimates mentioned in the article are in the same ballpark as those I have seen mentioned by subject matter experts, e.g.,

https://thehill.com/changing-america...-preparing-for


Harvard epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch told The Wall Street Journal that "it's likely we'll see a global pandemic" of coronavirus, with 40 to 70 percent of the world's population likely to be infected this year.

"What proportion of those will be symptomatic, I can't give a good number," added Lipsitch, who is the Director of the Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.

Two other experts have recently given similar estimates.

Ira Longini, a biostatistician and adviser to the World Health Organization (WHO), has predicted that two-thirds of the global population may eventually contract COVID-19.
Note: that was published a month ago, on Feb 15.
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