Originally Posted by
invisible
I am coming to the opposite conclusion, looking what is going on in Italy - if right now they are having their healthcare system in the affected regions under enormous stress, how it is going to handle the situation when more patients are added?
Italy is still early, sadly. Have to be on the downside of the peak and without an overloaded health care system. Italy is what we don't want to repeat in Seattle or anywhere else. Need a shallower and later case peak then they have had.
Of note, Singapore has had cases for 6+ weeks and the new cases reported is closer to linear than exponential. As many people are leaving quarantine cured as ones who are newly infected (although there is a bit of a spike in new cases over the last 2 days). Not sure if warmer weather is helping cut down transmission, or aggressive quarantines, but it is a very densely populated area so one would expect a more robust spread.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_c...k_in_Singapore