FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - Work / corporate travel bans - COVID-19
View Single Post
Old Feb 13, 2020, 5:41 am
  #10  
Carpacchio
 
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: GVA
Programs: A3 *G, LX *G, AF *S
Posts: 761
Originally Posted by Mozart0815

If these really are all "new" cases we have a significant issue. Otherwise (and this seems the more likely scenario to me) we just had a underreporting (of about 40-50%) of cases over the past, but it doesn't mean that the trend of new infections going down we clearly observed over the last week is broken, and that the rather draconian measures taken in China are not working.
I think it's very clear that this is a catch up since the methodology changed. But for that very same reason you also cannot say that the trend is down. You need to wait until you get more datapoints based on the new methodology... unfortunately.
Carpacchio is offline