The coming, march 4, annual Marriott Category adjustments list show a particularly hard hit to desirable 35k properties being moved up from Cat 5 to cat 6. This likely has a lot to do with these CC certificates since in large part Marriott categories are set by redemption and not cash booking demand.
it’s show a particularly hard it to NYC properties available to 35k Certificates and Resorts.
Peak points pricing has also had somewhat of an effect.
what I’ve found is though it looks like I’ll get at least $95 in value out of the certificate. It’ll be much more questionable that I’d get the $125 value out of the certificate that come with my business Bonvoy card
for now my Brilliant gives very good value but that mostly from the cash back on Marriott spending from AmEx offers and the retention bonus points I received last year.