FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - Coronavirus / COVID-19 : general fact-based reporting
Old Jan 25, 2020 | 11:32 am
  #173  
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Originally Posted by Romanianflyer
But those rates do then only count for hospitalised persons who are symptomatic.

There are probably thousands of people who have the virus but might not have any symptoms at all or just only get mildly sick, thus not going to hospital and not counted in the statistics. That would make the death rate much, much lower at just a few percentage points only, wouldn't it? I have never seen any official statistic putting the mortality rate that high and survival rate that low, unless I missed something.
These are the statistics quoted on the officially diagnosed patients. What you stated is a methodologically threat to all those official numbers, but its effects cannot be fully account for, so it remains as an unestimated confounding variable. The only thing that can be said is that it leads to all these numbers likely being overestimates, but nobody likely can say by how much (unless there is a model that can speculate/estimate this).
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