My typical paid travel on UA is mostly from ORD, 10-12 TPAC and 2-3 TATL coach trips annually, with a few domestic ones sprinkled in. For last 17 years I had at least a 1K status, with GS most years, and at least 150k annual miles, more than half of the years over 200k. 2MM for near 3 years.
Clearly UA wants to get rid of the FT like me.
Even V/H TPAC flights have base fares that are under $1000/flight as a rule. TATL could be higher, but rarely over $1200. I can see myself getting to 18k PQP, but not a chance for 24k. Unless I get to crazy routing I will not make it above 40-45 PQFs. Switching to partners will not get me too far, since 7k miles RT TPAC in AC or AN will translate to the same 1200 PQP.
I would need another 6-7 years of flying like currently to make it to 3MM. Without 1K and global upgrades that come with it there is no chance for me sustaining it.
I will probably go free agent once I exhaust my upgrades...
OM