I personally would check the bag, delays happen and if you end up having to run, the less to restrain you in any case, and less risk of being caught up at security. If necessary take a small rucksack with a toothbrush and a change of clothes, but as others have said in any case your bag will usually make it if you do, and if you don’t, and are rerouted, your bag will either also be rerouted or could be returned to you if you have to overnight and recheck in the morning.