Originally Posted by
musashino22
3. USA: 773W: LAX & ORD; 788/9: SEA & BOS; 772W: HNL x 2. JL could transfer up to 2 of their current 4 x HNL bound flights at NRT to HND to make up for lost ground and get away from the carnage that NH's A380 is causing. I suppose JL would still keep the current LAX at NRT and continue to cover for AA's afternoon ORD slot but downgrade both flights to a 788/9 Sky Suite or something similar. SEA and BOS should move to HND with the former as explicitly mentioned by JL during their relaunch, while BOS has a way more higher O&D traffic vs DFW. I would like to have LAS as a new route from HND as it has a higher O&D over BOS but if I am not mistaken, more than 80% is leisure so margin is not that great. This route is good for ZipAir after ICN/BKK with 2021 as the earliest possible launch.
JL still has 3 x 789s scheduled for delivery before the start of S20 schedule so it has some leeway to add new/retain routes such as LAX, ORD or even SFO at NRT.
NH could probably go for the following: SFO, SJC, IAH, IAD, SEA, HNL (Just thinking how insane the O&D traffic is between TYO - HNL - last time I checked it was already around 1.4M / year or something)
That will leave 2 SS7 for JFK-NRT unless they downgrade that flight.
NRT-BOS needs to rely on transit demand, that's why JL re-timed the flight to allow same-day connection in both directions couple of years ago. Not sure if the domestic transit + O/D demand for HND-BOS is good enough.