FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - ARCHIVE: Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2019 master thread)
Old Jul 10, 2019, 1:35 pm
  #722  
JJeffrey
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Originally Posted by ctopher2391
Hello! My wife and I are flying on flight 169, LAX to NRT on O fare class, Oct 15th. I no longer have status with AA but was hoping to do a miles + copay award upgrade to business. Is the likelihood of this clearing close to zero? I don’t have enough AA miles, so if there’s no realistic chance I’d rather not deal with converting Marriott points. Thank you for any advice.
Oct. 15 is a Tuesday which plays greatly in your favor. I'd say your chances are good, but it's way too soon to be able to say for sure. All the normal paid business travel hasn't even begun to book yet.

You definitely have a "realistic chance," however I'm not sure I would transfer points yet. Even if you had the necessary miles, any upgrade space most likely won't appear till 24-48 hrs. before the flight.
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