FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - Norwegian Air stability through summer?
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Old Feb 7, 2019, 4:15 am
  #21  
iflyjetz
 
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Posts: 5,536
Wow. That was a very bloody quarter. Q4 2018 losses were ~35% higher than Q4 2017 - not a good trend. Cash/equivalents less than half of Q4 2017; definitely not enough to get through Q1 without breaching covenants.

If this rights issue doesn't go well (and I didn't like the statement about it in the slide deck),. Norwegian will be out of business in short order.

I missed the conference call (waiting for it to be posted on Norwegian's website) but the stock is sliding in trading which bodes poorly for the rights issuance. Bloomberg's quote (NAS:NO) indicates that the stock is above a 52 week low, but I don't see it. I expanded out the chart and it appears to be at, as a minimum, a 5 year low. More likely it's at an all time low. Issuing stock rights at this point is a huge share dilution.

In addition, the airline is now shrinking (deferred 2019 aircraft orders along with trying to get an Asian partner to take delivery of a lot of future deliveries and selling aircraft) which will increase their cost per seat mile.

This is what the end of a death spiral looks like in the airline industry. Caveat emptor.
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