Thanks for all the replies.
i should have mentioned that I really want to be routed via SFO, both for the Polaris lounge and the 300ER Polaris seats. Dates are also pretty inflexible.
i have been monitoring the flight for the past 2 months and only the Q bucket has been available so far for $1826. It just dropped today in the $1400 range.
given all this new info should I just buy it today and pray for the best, or just keep monitoring this flight for another 3 months or so before I pull the trigger?