Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Barcelona, London, on a plane
Programs: IB+ Gold, TK E+, Hyatt Globalist, Marriott LTP, IHG Diamond
Posts: 14,182
It's nice to see a post based on realistic expectations. Let us know how it goes...
Of course, some people might not mind simply paying the 4,500 Avios + tax in advance and taking their chances. One of the things about IB is that they have padded schedules in order to claim good on-time performance, so on-time or early is something that you can gamble on with some confidence...