Has anyone done the maths on this? We keep talking about all the new elites who are swamping hotels and hoovering up the available suite upgrades but...

1) The number of eligible elites with 50+ nights in the combined programme will be near enough the same as there were in the two separate programmes (ok, so there may be a few additional people who previously split nights between SPG and Marriott and didn't qualify at 50+ before but not huge numbers because that behaviour doesn't make sense).

2) The number of hotels and brands that give suite upgrades to 50+ elites has also remained the same in the combined programme.

So, the total number of eligible elites divided by the total number of available suites before and after will be around the same, no?

I can see how some popular, say SPG, hotels will be targeted by former Marriott elites and may cause capacity issues on a case by case basis but they're now not staying at their Marriott hotel and releasing capacity on that side.

What am I missing?