I would bet you make it this year if that's all UA metal.
I asked because I have "missed" consistently on similar CPM yield but <$10-15K less spend. I think you're above the absolute level they must also look for.
I wouldn't be so optimistic... I'm in the same PQD ballpark (though keep having trips pop up that push my forecasts up... but not past $50k up) with a 41 CPbisM spend averaged across all UA miles/ 74 CPbisM trip average -- the former is in line with previous years, the latter is within $0.05 [and I don't think actually relevant] and I'd be utterly shocked if anything change this year.
That said I don't feel like I'm missing out much anymore -- as a full-fare 1K I've actually gotten more of the Benz transfers than some GS members I've chatted with, a version of preboarding, great IROPS recovery... Sure I'd love GS just because I collect status as an incidental hobby but beyond that? Meh.