Moderator, Air Canada; FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Feb 2015
Location: YYC
Programs: AC SE MM, FB Plat, WS Plat, BA Silver, Marriott Plat, Hilton Gold, Accor Gold
Posts: 18,900
I'd say at T-24, you probably have around 60-70% chance that what the app/FR24 tells you will be the fin that actually flies. T-48, maybe 40-50%. T-6, probably 90% or so.