Originally Posted by
Globaliser
The 747 plans have already been subject to more changes than a fashion show, and we've only just started hearing more rumours of another "rightwards" shift. So this doesn't surprise me at all. I will have to try to get my head around it, though.
The wikipost has the following numbers of identified retiring aircraft.
Now: 36 aircraft
2018: 2 to retire, 34 aircraft left at year end
2019: 3 to retire, 31 aircraft left at year end
2020: 5 to retire, 26 aircraft left at year end
2021: 3 to retire, 23 aircraft left at year end
2022: 2 to retire, 21 aircraft left at year end
The table reproduced in
BA Fleet : New aircraft arrivals and retirements master tracker gives the following figures (assumed to be year end figures).
2018: 34
2019: 32
2020: 27
2021: 20
2022: 13
2023: 3
Remembering that more aircraft may be due to retire than only those which have been specifically identified, the only real change that we can see seem to be that 2019 retirements have been reduced by one.
I think that the 2021 figures can't be definitively relied on as there may already have been more planned retirements than the three specific aircraft identified for us, but it's possible that there will be more 2021 retirements than previously planned.
I wouldn't myself put any store on the 2022 figure in the wikipost as being in any way definitive.