It's hard to know what's going to happen for me. I am presently at 90k AQM, but only $13K AQD. I've got about 40k AQM on the books.
I have about $7500 in 014 ticket stock on the books (for travel to the end of November), but a few segments in there are short haul EW and LH. I have no idea what the science is behind the LH AQD credits, but I'm now aware that EW doesn't give me any AQD as they aren't actually in the alliance.
I fully expect to have to go on a last minute AQD run, unless someone has a better idea? My concern is the delay in the posting of the AQD for the late November flights - it might be Christmas time before I know how much I have to spend and by then I'm a little bit screwed for time.