Originally Posted by
tecate55
My predictions:
- AC will remove the whole 8% of every route, every month, guarantee for Aeroplan. AC wants to optimize for paid seats. Points redemptions on otherwise unfilled seats is basically free for them, unless you were otherwise going to pay cash for the ticket. Good luck using Aeroplan points (at fixed mileage redemptions) on popular/profitable routes in the near future. They can do this silently, and very profitably. Initially, AC will play with the numbers manually (change 8% to 2%), then set it dynamically. Aeroplan will become more of a game with continuously changing availability.
- Mild devaluation of points - 10-20%. e.g. 25k-->30k for redemptions.
1. Why would you expect it to work any differently than any other program? Or are you saying that it will become more like those programs (such as UA MP).
2. Why would they devalue anything? Aeroplan used to get $X for the points, and then transfer $Y < $X to AC for the seats. By AC owning the program, they already get more money per redemption, so there would be no need to devalue anything.