Originally Posted by
Bunky
My math would show about 91 units would be converted or introduced as new with that formula. I count 149 total WB aircraft possible to get Polaris: 5 remaining 3 class 763s, 21 2 class 763s, 3 HA 763s, 16 764s,31 remaining sUA 772ERs, 22 sCO 772s, 12 788s, 29 789s and10 78J. Maybe some fleets will take more time than 12/20 to convert. Or, can we expect the 21 763s, 16 764s, 12 788s may not get Polaris? That would equal 102 units. Dropping 25 789s would be only 77 Polaris units.
The entire WB fleet (save for 763s to be retired and 77G) will get Polaris. This is confirmed by Andrew Nocella. The precise timetable is not known, however, and I would only look at the "every 10 days" thing as rough guidance. I wonder if N588UA is headed to XMN next?
As for the call, it was noted that Guam is rebounding nicely. While I think the removal of the 777s on NRT-GUM was motivated more by the 777s in Polaris retrofit and need to upgauge BCN/MAD/DUB for the summer (IOW, that they were always going to return after the S18 schedule), it is good to see them coming back in the context of improved demand. Traffic really fell off a cliff with the NK tensions; hopefully that has now substantially abated.