Originally Posted by
ruckzac
Delta certainly may be discounting J more aggressively, but I would guess the bigger factor in declining op-ups is softer TATL demand / lower load factors. If Delta expects to sell-out Y, their incentive is not to offer discounted J fares because expensive Y fares are often more expensive. Is there any public data on Delta’s TATL load factors?
There is public data on this in Form 41. It looks like Delta's trans-Atlantic load factors were 84.1% in 2012, 85.3% in 2013, 84.5% in 2014, 82.4% in 2015, 80.7% in 2016 and 84.3% in 2017. So there was a dip for a while but 2017 was strong again. And this is year-round averages so summer load factors would be even higher.