FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - The Official - GLOBAL UPGRADE CERT success thread - Yay! I got it!
Old Jun 15, 2018, 7:11 am
  #2933  
rucksack
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Posts: 1,880
Originally Posted by bgriff
Yeah, it doesn't seem like there's much premium demand on the route, although Delta (as on most other routes) seems to have gotten much more aggressive about selling the business class tickets for cheap rather than offering op-ups as they did in past years.

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A few years back (like 2013 era) it felt like I could count on at least a 50% chance of an op-up flying to/from Europe in the summer, even just as a GM at that time. I don't have as many data points in the past year or two but it certainly seems like op-ups are a lot less common.
Delta certainly may be discounting J more aggressively, but I would guess the bigger factor in declining op-ups is softer TATL demand / lower load factors. If Delta expects to sell-out Y, their incentive is not to offer discounted J fares because expensive Y fares are often more expensive. Is there any public data on Delta’s TATL load factors?
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