FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - 2017 Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (consolidated)
Old Nov 3, 2017, 4:41 am
  #745  
golfingboy
Ambassador: Alaska Airlines
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: BWI
Posts: 7,390
Originally Posted by JJeffrey
Not necessarily, what does the business seatmap and Y look like?

If Y is wide open but it's J0, then yea, chances don't look great.

But if Y is Y0 or at least close, then you still have an ok chance, as AA will definitely reduce or zero out J when they anticipate an oversell in Y. Especially true if the J seatmap looks a little too open for a flight that's J0.

I've cleared several upgrades in this type of "J0" scenario over the years, as well an op-up or two.
I did look at EF quick before replying and both DFW-NRT flights on Saturday is relatively open in Y with inventory showing 7 seats in almost all Y fare classes.

I remember doing this flight on a Saturday last year and wound up #6 on the upgrade list as EXP... In my row there was another EXP and he was #8 . Tough route to upgrade.
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