Originally Posted by Trumpkin

Welcome to Flyertalk.

If you're looking at seat maps, it is likely that there will be some people who haven't yet a selected a seat. Similarly if trying the trick of seeing how many seats you can buy via a dummy booking. So the percentages may be higher.

One ups are processed after the upgrades you get via status, so with the current loadings it is likely to be fairly full, so a higher bid is likely to be needed to have any chance of success.