Originally Posted by
sfo789
I do think even on "business" routes, upgrade odds depend a little on time, route, luck, etc.
Oh I fully agree with that.
I just wouldn't pay extra to upfare to W on those routes. It's a very low odds proposition. (And even if you accept the "international connecting GPUs" theory, booking a W at best gives you a tie. You'd have to go to at least a V to get any advantage.)