Originally Posted by Smiley90

Just checking in to make sure my way of thinking is correct.

I have a 7 night stay in HKG coming up I have to book, so I figured I'll look into the travel packages. In Canada, so I'm comparing:

180'000 Amex MR = 90'000 SPG = 270k Marriott = 120'000 Alaska + 7 Nights Cat1-5 (though I'd probably upgrade to Cat6 to use the CY Hong Kong, so let's go with:

200'000 Amex MR = 100'000 SPG = 300k Marriott = 120'000 Alaska + 7 Nights @ CY Hong Kong

vs

200'000 Amex MR = e.g. 200'000 Aeroplan + pay Cash for 7 nights


Assuming AS miles are worth, say 25% more than AP, that's still the equivalent of ~150k

so essentially I'm hoping I get more than 50'000 worth of AP miles out of the 7 nights. Assuming ~ 1.5cents per AP mile, that's about 750USD, so 107USD/Night.

So... using the travel packages is worth it if I don't find a satisfactory hotel for less than 107USD/night.

...Correct thinking?