Originally Posted by
orbitmic
I agree. I can imagine 4 scenarios:
1) nothing changes;
2) earnings reduce, redemptions do not change;
3) earnings and redemptions both reduce;
4) BAEC uses the change as a pretext for a larger overhaul with more negative consequences.
I think (3) is most likely but don't discount (2) or (4).
I think (1) is extremely unlikely, not least because it would be very odd to have domestic J/D/I class earn business TPs if on BA codes (as they currently do) but first TPs on AA codes (as they currently don't).
Remember some non-transcon domestics already book into J/D/I on AA codes (usually if they share a flight number with a TATL) and they currently earn as J. So BAEC would actually have to change
that status quo in order to maintain the wider status quo.