Ugh! I applied for this card 9 days too early! I called to ask about matching the new 50k bonus, but the agent couldn't do anything - she gave me a case number with the rewards department, and I doubt that will go anywhere.
My data:
Closed previous Arrival+ card 10/3/2015. Applied almost immediately for the no-fee Arrival card and was denied.
Applied for 2nd Arrival+ card 9/7/2016 and was instantly approved.
My FICO according to Barclays is 800. I've opened 8 other cards in 2016, 13 in the last 12 months. According to CreditKarma, they pulled TransUnion, which only had 2 inquires at the time.