Could someone kindly confirm that my understanding of the following is correct?

I have Platinum status (and live outside France) and expect to end the year with between 50,000 and 55,000 level miles and something like 15 qualifying flights.

1 I shall be downgraded to Gold. I shall have earned enough miles for this level anyway (so it isn't, in fact, a soft landing).
2 But I shan't be entitled to any carry-over miles, because of the drop in status level.

Re 2, I was rather hoping I'd be able to carry over the miles in excess of the 40,000 I need to achieve Gold status, because I have, in fact, earned the miles for this level and am not being given a soft landing to it.

Many thanks