Originally Posted by
airsurfer
So the 748 with its 1970 design is really newly built? In an era when there are more fuel efficient 380, 777, 787 and 350s ? That amazes me.
The 748 was designed in the 2005-2008 timeframe.
I don't have such a crystal ball. In 2040 the only aircraft of today will be older 777X built in the 2020s or early 2030s, the 787 and 350 will be phased out, unless there is a 787MAX or 350NEO.
Not true. Tons of 737's, A320's, and everything else that is built today will be in the air in 2040. I drove past two 737 fuselages this morning on the way to work (they were on railcars...headed for assembly). They'll be in the air in 2040 and beyond.
Since the big new(er) long-haul projects right now are 787, 77X, and A350, it's hardly a crystal ball statement to say the skies will be full of them in 20-25 years.
A380s and 747s will be there too, but in fewer total numbers since fewer airlines, airports, and routes use these.
I won't be alive to see it, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if there are airworthy 747's flying on the type's 100th anniversary in 2069.