Originally Posted by
sscywong
My view: Zero op-up chance from J to F
1, 2, 3 has J wide open... Even W may seems tight J must be able to absorb the oversold W (if any at all) so no way J will get full
4 actually also unlike to get full... J7 may means a tighter J, but I4 I would say there should still be seats available in J... And F2 A2 also... so there's even less chance for one in J to use miles to upgrade to F
Thanks very much for your perspective on this. I suppose with seven (now six) days to go, I figured that Y6 on flight #1 probably represents an oversold or about to be oversold situation as Y0 does not just mean full but indeed oversold to the point that the airline won't oversell more. With only 2 left in W (I understand CX also oversells PE), I'm also assuming that there is very likely going to be a wave of PE to J opt-ups. Whether or not that will ultimately push a DM into the front is another question entirely.
I'd really love to hear from someone else on this who (a.) works for CX; (b.) has in the past; or (c.) has had experience analyzing these inventory figures with a reasonable track record of success.